Hurricane Statement

AMZ101-220900-  Synopsis for the SW N Atlantic including the Bahamas  446 PM EDT Thu Sep 21 2017      .SYNOPSIS…Hurricane Maria is centered at 20.8N 69.8W 960 mb at  5 PM EDT moving NW or 315 degrees at 8 kt. Maximum sustained  winds are 105 kt with gusts to 130 kt. Maria is forecast to reach  near 21.6N 70.4W at 2 AM EDT FRI, weaken to 100 kt gusts to 120  kt near 23.0N 71.2W at 2 PM EDT Fri, near 24.5N 71.7W at 2 AM EDT  Sat, weaken to 95 kt gusts 115 kt near 26.1N 72.1W at 2 PM EDT  Sat, near 28.9N 72.1W at 2 PM Sun, then pass through 31.0N 71.0W  at 2 PM EDT Mon.    $$


AMZ117-220900-  Bahamas including Cay Sal Bank-  446 PM EDT Thu Sep 21 2017    TROPICAL STORM WARNING    TONIGHT  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. ATLC Exposures,  NE winds 15 to 20 kt, increasing to 25 to 30 kt late. Seas 10 ft,  building to 14 ft late. Elsewhere, NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4  ft.  FRI  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED. ATLC Exposures, N to  NE winds 35 to 45 kt. Seas 19 to 20 ft. Elsewhere, NE winds 25 to  30 kt. Seas 4 to 5 ft.  FRI NIGHT  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. ATLC  Exposures, N to NE winds 35 to 40 kt, becoming N 25 to 30 kt  late. Elsewhere, N to NE winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 19 to  20 ft ATLC Exposures, and 6 to 7 ft elsewhere. Scattered showers  and isolated thunderstorms.  SAT  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. ATLC Exposures, NW  to N winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. Elsewhere, N winds 20 to  25 kt. Seas 8 ft.  SAT NIGHT  ATLC Exposures, NW winds 25 to 30 kt. Seas 16 to  17 ft. Elsewhere, N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 8 ft.  SUN  NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 15 ft ATLC Exposures, and 8 ft  elsewhere.  SUN NIGHT  NW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 13 to 14 ft ATLC  Exposures, and 7 ft elsewhere.  MON  W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 10 to 11 ft ATLC Exposures, and  5 to 6 ft elsewhere.  MON NIGHT  NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 8 to 9 ft ATLC  Exposures, and 4 ft elsewhere.  TUE  W to NW winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to N in the  afternoon. Seas 7 ft ATLC Exposures, and 3 to 4 ft elsewhere.

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HURRICANE MARIA BULLETIN

ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
Hurricane Maria Intermediate Advisory Number 16A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
200 AM AST Wed Sep 20 2017

…CORE OF POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE MARIA
EXPECTED TO REACH SOUTHEASTERN PUERTO RICO THIS MORNING…

 

SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST…0600 UTC…INFORMATION

LOCATION…17.6N 65.1W
ABOUT 20 MI…35 KM WSW OF ST. CROIX
ABOUT 85 MI…140 KM SE OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…165 MPH…270 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…910 MB…26.87 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The government of the Netherlands has discontinued the Tropical
Storm Warning for St. Eustatius.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands
* Puerto Rico, Culebra, and Vieques
* Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano to Puerto Plata

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Saba
* St. Maarten
* Guadeloupe
* Dominican Republic west of Puerto Plata to the northern border of
the Dominican Republic and Haiti
* Dominican Republic west of Cabo Engano to Punta Palenque

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin and St. Barthelemy
* Dominican Republic from Isla Saona to Cabo Engano
* Turks and Caicos Islands and the Southeastern Bahamas

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours before
the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force winds,
conditions that make outside preparations difficult or dangerous.

Interests elsewhere in Hispaniola and the Bahamas should monitor the
progress of Maria.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
outside the United States, please monitor products issued by your
national meteorological service.

 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Maria was located
near latitude 17.6 North, longitude 65.1 West. Maria is moving
toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A west-northwest
to northwest motion is expected to continue through today, followed
by a northwestward motion on Thursday. On the forecast track, the
eye of Maria will cross Puerto Rico today, and pass just north of
the northeast coast of the Dominican Republic tonight and Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 165 mph (270 km/h) with higher
gusts. Maria is a potentially catastrophic category 5 hurricane on
the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in
intensity could occur before the hurricane reaches Puerto Rico, but
Maria is forecast to remain an extremely dangerous category 4 or 5
hurricane as it moves over Puerto Rico. Slow weakening is expected
after the hurricane emerges over the Atlantic north of Puerto Rico
and the Dominican Republic.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from
the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150
miles (240 km). A sustained wind of 104 mph (167 km/h) with a wind
gust to 137 mph (220 km/h) was reported within the hour in the
western portion of St. Croix in the U.S. Virgin Islands.

The latest minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force
Hurricane Hunter observations is 910 mb (26.87 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue in portions of the
warning area in the Leeward Islands this morning. Tropical storm
and hurricane conditions are occurring over the Virgin Islands and
will spread over Puerto Rico in the next few hours. Hurricane
conditions are expected within the Hurricane Warning area in the
Dominican Republic tonight, with tropical storm conditions
expected by later today. Tropical storm conditions are expected in
the Tropical Storm Warning areas in the Dominican Republic later
today. Hurricane and tropical storm conditions are possible on
Thursday in the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern
Bahamas.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
and on high-rise buildings could be much stronger than the near-
surface winds indicated in this advisory.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge accompanied by large and
destructive waves will raise water levels by as much as 7 to 11
feet above normal tide levels in portions of the hurricane warning
area near the British Virgin Islands.

A dangerous storm surge accompanied by large and destructive waves
will raise water levels by as much as 4 to 6 feet above normal tide
levels in the hurricane warning area in the Dominican Republic, and
1 to 3 ft elsewhere along the northern coasts of the Dominican
Republic and Haiti.

The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water is expected to reach
the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the
time of high tide…

Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands…6 to 9 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the north and east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related
flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal
cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information
specific to your area, please see products issued by your local
National Weather Service forecast office.

RAINFALL: Maria is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations through Friday:

Central and southern Leeward Islands…additional 1 to 3 inches.
Northern Leeward Islands from Barbuda to Anguilla…additional 3 to
6 inches.
U.S. and British Virgin Islands…additional 8 to 12 inches,
isolated 16 inches.
Puerto Rico…12 to 18 inches, isolated 25 inches.
Eastern Dominican Republic…4 to 8 inches, isolated 12 inches.

Rainfall on all of these islands will cause life-threatening flash
floods and mudslides.

TORNADOES: Several tornadoes are possible over Puerto Rico and the
U.S. Virgin Islands today.

SURF: Swells generated by Maria are affecting the Leeward Islands,
Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands. These swells will begin
affecting the northern coast of Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos
Islands, and the Southeastern Bahamas during the next day or two.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather
office.

 

NEXT ADVISORY

Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

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Weather Bulletin

ZCZC MIATCPAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Jose Intermediate Advisory Number 59A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122017
200 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2017

…JOSE MOVING NORTH OF THE GULF STREAM…
…DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST WILL
CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS…

 

SUMMARY OF 200 AM EDT…0600 UTC…INFORMATION
———————————————-
LOCATION…38.2N 70.5W
ABOUT 210 MI…335 KM S OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…70 MPH…110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…973 MB…28.74 INCHES

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
——————–
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Woods Hole to Sagamore Beach, including Cape Cod
* Block Island
* Martha’s Vineyard
* Nantucket

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* The coast of Long Island from Fire Island Inlet to Port Jefferson

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24
hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
——————————
At 200 AM EDT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Jose was
located near latitude 38.2 North, longitude 70.5 West. Jose is
moving toward the northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue through today with a decrease in
forward speed. On the forecast track, the center of Jose
is expected to pass well to the east of the New Jersey coast today,
and pass offshore of southeastern Massachusetts Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of
days.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 220 miles (350 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 973 mb (28.74 inches).

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
———————-
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in the
warning area later this morning. Tropical storm conditions are
possible in the watch area beginning today.

SURF: Swells generated by Jose are affecting Bermuda, the Bahamas,
and much of the U.S. east coast. These swells are likely to cause
dangerous surf and rip current conditions for the next several
days in these areas. For more information, please consult products
from your local weather office.

RAINFALL: Jose is expected to produce the following additional
rainfall accumulations through Thursday:

Over eastern Rhode Island and southeast Massachusetts…1 to 3
inches.
Nantucket and Cape Cod…2 to 4 inches.
Martha’s Vineyard…3 to 5 inches.

These rainfall totals could cause isolated flash flooding.

 

NEXT ADVISORY
————-
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.

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Hurricane Bulletin

ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
Hurricane Maria Intermediate Advisory Number 13A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152017
800 AM AST Tue Sep 19 2017

…POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC HURRICANE MARIA HEADED FOR THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO…

SUMMARY OF 800 AM AST…1200 UTC…INFORMATION

LOCATION…16.2N 62.8W
ABOUT 85 MI…135 KM W OF GUADELOUPE
ABOUT 170 MI…275 KM SE OF ST. CROIX
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…160 MPH…260 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 MPH…15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…933 MB…27.55 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Meteorological Service of St. Lucia has discontinued the
Tropical Storm Warning for St. Lucia.

The Meteorological Service of Barbados has discontinued the
Tropical Storm Watch for St. Vincent and the Grenadines.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for…
* Guadeloupe
* Dominica
* St. Kitts, Nevis, and Montserrat
* U.S. Virgin Islands
* British Virgin Islands
* Puerto Rico, Culebra, and Vieques

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* Antigua and Barbuda
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* Anguilla
* Martinique

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for…
* Saba and St. Eustatius
* St. Maarten
* St. Martin and St. Barthelemy
* Anguilla
* Isla Saona to Puerto Plata

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for…
* West of Puerto Plata to the northern Dominican Republic-Haiti
border

A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected
somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area. A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.

Interests elsewhere in Hispaniola, the southeastern Bahamas, and
the Turks and Caicos Islands should monitor the progress of Maria.
Additional watches and warnings may be required today.

For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area outside
the United States, please monitor products issued by your national
meteorological service.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

At 800 AM AST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Maria was located
near latitude 16.2 North, longitude 62.8 West. Maria is moving
toward the west-northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue through Wednesday. On the forecast
track, the eye of Maria will move over the northeastern Caribbean
Sea today, and approach the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico tonight
and Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 160 mph (260 km/h) with higher
gusts. Maria is a potentially catastrophic category 5 hurricane on
the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in
intensity are likely during the next day or two, but Maria is
forecast to remain an extremely dangerous category 4 or 5 hurricane
while it approaches the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to
125 miles (205 km). Sustained tropical storm force winds have
recently been reported from Guadeloupe and Antigua.

The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Reserve
Hurricane Hunter data is 933 mb (27.55 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

WIND: Hurricane conditions will continue to spread throughout
portions of the hurricane warning area in the Leeward Islands this
morning. Hurricane conditions should spread through the remainder
of the hurricane warning area later today and Wednesday. Hurricane
conditions are possible within the hurricane watch area in the
Dominican Republic late Wednesday, with tropical storm conditions
possible by early Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible
in the tropical storm watch area in the Dominican Republic on
Wednesday.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
could be much stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this
advisory.

STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge accompanied by large and
destructive waves will raise water levels by as much as 7 to 11
feet above normal tide levels in the hurricane warning area near
where the center of Maria moves across the Leeward Islands and the
British Virgin Islands.

The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline. The water is expected to reach
the following heights above ground if the peak surge occurs at the
time of high tide…

Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands…6 to 9 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast near and to
the north and east of the landfall location, where the surge will be
accompanied by large and destructive waves. Surge-related
flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal
cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information
specific to your area, please see products issued by your local
National Weather Service forecast office.

RAINFALL: Maria is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations through Thursday:

Central and southern Leeward Islands…10 to 15 inches, isolated 20
inches.
U.S. and British Virgin Islands…10 to 15 inches, isolated 20
inches.
Puerto Rico…12 to 18 inches, isolated 25 inches.
Northern Leeward Islands from Barbuda to Anguilla…4 to 8 inches,
isolated 10 inches.
Windward Islands and Barbados…2 to 4 inches, isolated 6 inches.
Eastern Dominican Republic…4 to 8 inches, isolated 12 inches.

Rainfall on all of these islands will cause life-threatening flash
floods and mudslides.

SURF: Swells generated by Maria are affecting the Lesser Antilles.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY

Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

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WEATHER STATEMENT

TNT31 KWNH 121350
TCPAT1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IRMA ADVISORY NUMBER 53
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL112017
500 AM EDT TUE SEP 12 2017

…CORRECTION FOR MAXIMUM WIND AND STORM NUMBER…

…POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IRMA IS BRINGING GENERALLY MODERATE RAIN
TO PARTS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. AND TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS…

SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT…0900 UTC…INFORMATION

LOCATION…33.0N 85.2W
ABOUT 65 MILES…110 KM…SW OF ATLANTA GEORGIA
ABOUT 100 MILES…165 KM…ESE OF BIRMINGHAM ALABAMA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…25 MPH…40 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 335 DEGREES AT 10 MPH…16 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…998 MB…29.47 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS.
FLOOD WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES ARE ONGOING SCATTERED THROUGHOUT THE
SOUTHEAST.

FOR INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

AT 500 AM EDT…0900 UTC…THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE
IRMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.0 NORTH…AND LONGITUDE 85.2
WEST. IRMA HAS LOST ITS TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS IN THE LAST
SEVERAL HOURS, AND IS NOW CLASSIFIED AS A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE.
IRMA HAS BEEN MOVING NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST U.S., AND
WILL CONTINUE THIS MOTION AND APPROACH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY BY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. IRMA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGHOUT THE DAY
ON TUESDAY.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB…29.47 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

RAINFALL…REMNANT BANDS FROM POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IRMA ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES
WITH ISOLATED 5 INCHES THROUGH TUESDAY ACROSS NORTHERN SOUTH
CAROLINA INTO SOUTHERN AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. LOCALIZED
INTENSE RAINFALL RATES WILL LEAD TO ADDITIONAL ISOLATED AREAS OF
FLASH FLOODING AND RAPID RISES ON CREEKS, STREAMS, AND RIVERS.
CLOSER TO IRMA’S REMNANT CIRCULATION CENTER, AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2
INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI,
NORTHWEST ALABAMA, EASTERN ARKANSAS, WESTERN TENNESSEE, AND
WESTERN KENTUCKY. SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING WILL PERSIST OVER
MUCH OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA IN THE WAKE OF IRMA, WHILE
ADDITIONAL RIVER FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS GEORGIA AND
EASTERN ALABAMA.

…SELECTED PRELIMINARY STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES THROUGH 5
AM EDT

…ALABAMA…
EUFAULA MUNI ARPT 3.25
DOTHAN RGNL ARPT 2.76
MONTGOMERY 2.15

…FLORIDA…
FT. PIERCE ST. LUCIE CNTY INTL ARP 15.91
OVIEDO 14.76
CHEKIKA 13.83
INLIKITA 7 WNW 13.63
GAINESVILLE 2.4 NW 12.22
MIMS 8.5 W 12.11
NAPLES 11.87
NATIONAL KEY DEER NWR 11.74
OVIEDO 1.6 SE 11.54
CACHE 11.49
STARKE 11.33
WEST MELBOURNE 11.21
JACKSONVILLE 9.6 SE 11.17
FLEMING ISLAND 2.2 S 11.11
SWITZERLAND 4 WSW 11.11
PANTHER WEST 11.08
ORTEGA 1 WNW 11.00
UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA 3 NW 10.42
FORT MYERS INTL ARPT 10.33
SUMMERFIELD 3 SSE 10.04
OASIS RANGER STATION 9.67
OKEECHOBEE COUNTY ARPT 9.65
FORT LAUDERDALE EXEC ARPT 9.57
ORLANDO/SANFORD ARPT 9.42
OCHOPEE 9.27
OLUSTEE 3 N 9.17
ALACHUA 5 SE 8.61
MILES CITY 8.26
BELLAIR 3 W 8.11
OPA-LOCKA AIRPORT 7.99
ORLANDO EXECUTIVE ARPT 7.68
FORT WHITE 4 SE 7.57
INTERLACHEN 4 NW 6.22
TALLYRAND 2 NNW 6.15
DAYTONA BEACH INTL ARPT 5.86
HOLLYWOOD 3.9 SW 4.68
PALM CITY 3.1 NW 4.58
FLEMING ISLAND 1.7 SE 4.56
MIAMI BEACH 3.95
VERO BEACH 2.5 S 3.25

…GEORGIA…
ST MARYS RIVER NEAR KINGSLAND 5SSE 10.12
CUMBERLAND SOUND NEAR ST MARYS 5ENE 9.18
HOMELAND 7.99
THALMANN 5 ESE 7.89
BOYS ESTATE 3 S 7.84
FOLKSTON 10 SW 7.80
SAVANNAH/HUNTER AAF 6.88
KINGSLAND 3 WSW 6.85
ATKINSON 1 WSW 6.66
BRUNSWICK, MALCOLM MCKINNON ARPT 6.32
SAPELO ISLAND 1 NW 5.97

…SOUTH CAROLINA…
EDISTO ISLAND 2 WNW 6.05
BLACKVILLE 2 W 6.01
BEAUFORT MCAS 5.88
SANTEE 5 NNE 5.74
FOLLY FIELD 1 SW 5.67
CHARLESTON INTL ARPT 5.53
EASTOVER 6 SW 4.97
NEW ELLENTON 4 S 4.81
EDGEFIELD 4.12
SUMTER 4.11
COLUMBIA METRO AIRPORT 3.14

…SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR EARLIER IN THE
EVENT…

…ALABAMA…
TROY MUNICIPAL AIRPORT 45
WEEDON FIELD AIRPORT 43
ANNISTON ARPT ASOS 40
MONTGOMERY REGIONAL AIRPORT 40

…FLORIDA…
NAPLES 2 ENE 142
MARCO ISLAND 1 E 130
LELY 2 ESE 122
BIG PINE KEY 2 NNW 120
QUAIL CREEK ESTATES 2 SSW 112
NORTH PERRY AIRPO 2 WNW 109
KEY BISCAYNE 8 SSE 99
MIAMI INTERNATIONAL 1 W 99
NORTH PERRY AIRPO 3 WSW 98
SWEETWATER 2 NE 96
CAPE CANAVERAL 3 NNE 94
OCEAN REEF 8 SE 93
BELLE MEADE 1 S 92
KEY LARGO 8 SSE 92
OCHOPEE 1 W 92
CACHE AT EVERGLADES 91
KEY WEST 2 W 91
ROYAL PALM RANGER S 4 W 91
CORAL GABLES 1 ESE 90
OCEAN REEF 8 SSE 89
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA INTL ARPT 89
MAYPORT NAVAL STATION 87
PORT EVERGLADES 87
DEERFIELD BEACH 3 W 86
JACKSONVILLE INTL ARPT 86
KEY LARGO 1 SE 85
REDLAND 8 NNW 85
FORT MYERS FAA/AP 84
SUNRISE 1 W 84
FLAGLER BEACH 83
GOULDS 1 NE 83
HOMESTEAD PARK 1 WSW 83
OAKLAND PARK 3 NW 83
PINECREST 2 SSW 82
FIU SOUTH CAMPUS 81
HAULOVER CANAL 3 E 81
POMPANO BEACH AIR 1 ESE 81
RSW SOUTHWEST FLORIDA A 81
IMMOKALEE 2 ESE 80
SOUTH MIAMI 2 W 80
FISHER ISLAND 3 ESE 79
FIU NORTH CAMPUS 1 ESE 79
FORT DESOTO PARK 3 W 79
FLORIDA CITY 1 ESE 78
FORT LAUDERDALE 2 W 78
NORTH PERRY AIRPORT 78
SANIBEL 4 ENE 78
SUNRISE 2 E 78
CLEARWATER 4 WNW 77
PARKLAND 2 W 77
WEST MIAMI 2 SE 77
BARTOW 10 SSW 75
DAVIE 2 NE 75
DELRAY BEACH 3 WSW 75
SAINT AUGUSTINE 1 NW 75
LITTLE HAITI 2 SE 74
BUNNELL 72
COUNTRY WALK 1 N 72
HOLIDAY 4 SW 70
INDIAN LAKE ESTATES 2 S 70
LITTLE HAVANA 1 NNW 68
LAUDERDALE BY THE 2 NW 67
PORT EVERGLADES 1 SSE 66
DOWNTOWN SAINT PETE 4 E 65
SANFORD AIRPORT 65
CORAL SPRINGS 1 W 64
DELAND 63
DANIA BEACH 1 NW 62
ST. AUGUSTINE 6 NNW 62
CROSS CITY AIRPORT 61
HIALEAH GARDENS 1 E 61
POMPANO BEACH 61

…GEORGIA…
FORT PULASKI 70
FORT SCREVEN 70
TYBEE ISLAND 1 NNE 65
HARTSFIELD ATLANTA INTL ARPT 64
MIDDLE GEORGIA REGIONAL ARPT 61
SAVANNAH AIRPORT 60
TALLAPOOSA 4 SSE 59
HABERSHAM COUNTY AP 58
VALDOSTA 2 WNW 58
CLEVELAND 57
LITTLE OCMULGEE STATE PARK 57
DUBLIN 54
PERRY 54
COLUMBUS AIRPORT ASOS 53
VIDALIA 53
ATHENS 3 ESE 52
BANKS CROSSING 51
JASPER 2 SSW 48
TUCKER 2 SE 47
MOODY AFB 44

…NORTH CAROLINA…
HIGHLANDS 2 NNW 56
CASHIERS 1 ESE 51
BOOMER 3 ESE 47
BELMONT 45
CHARLOTTE DOUGLAS INTL ARPT 45

…SOUTH CAROLINA…
PARRIS ISLAND 6 E 76
FOLLY BEACH 72
ISLE OF PALMS 1 ESE 68
SULLIVANS ISLAND 1 E 68
BATTERY POINT 1 NNW 66
BEAUFORT 66
CHARLESTON 2 SSW 66
DANIEL FIELD AIRPORT 58
OCONEE COUNTY REGION 58
AUGUSTA BUSH FIELD 55
LANCASTER COUNTY AIRPORT 55

…TENNESSEE…
GATLINBURG 10 S 60
CHATTANOOGA 4 ESE 45

NEXT ADVISORY

NEXT ADVISORY ISSUED AT 1100 AM EDT. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS
STORM.

FORECASTER TATE

FORECAST POSITIONS

INITIAL 12/0900Z 33.0N 85.2W
12HR VT 12/1800Z 34.9N 87.5W…POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

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FLOOD ADVISORY

WGUS82 KGSP 120612
FLSGSP

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
212 AM EDT TUE SEP 12 2017

NCC021-089-111-149-161-121200-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FA.Y.0127.170912T0612Z-170912T1200Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
McDowell NC-Rutherford NC-Henderson NC-Polk NC-Buncombe NC-
212 AM EDT TUE SEP 12 2017

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a

  • Flood Advisory for…
    Southwestern McDowell County in western North Carolina…
    Northwestern Rutherford County in western North Carolina…
    Henderson County in western North Carolina…
    Western Polk County in western North Carolina…
    Southeastern Buncombe County in western North Carolina…

  • Until 800 AM EDT

  • At 205 AM EDT, Doppler radar and automated rain gauges indicated
    periods of moderate to heavy rain have been ongoing across the
    advisory area over the past several hours. This will cause minor
    flooding in the advisory area. Up to 3 inches of rain has fallen
    over the past 6 hours with an additional 1-2 inches of rain
    possible over the next 3-6 hours.

  • Some locations that may experience flooding include…
    Hendersonville, Black Mountain, Fletcher, Flat Rock, Etowah,
    Fairview In Buncombe County, Mountain Home, Laurel Park, Old Fort
    and Saluda.

  • The following streams are experiencing rapid rises and may cause
    minor flooding: Mud Creek, Bat Fork Creek, Hickory Creek, Little
    Creek, Hungry River, Devils Fork, Clear Creek, Mill Creek,
    Curtis Creek, and other headwater tributaries to the Catawba and
    Broad rivers.

  • The streamgauges on Mud Creek and Bat Fork Creek just north
    of Hendersonville are rising and approaching Action Stage.
    Minor flooding of low-lying areas and farmland is possible
    over the next several hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

Turn around, don’t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Be especially cautious at night when it is harder to recognize the
dangers of flooding.

In hilly terrain there are hundreds of low water crossings which are
potentially dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross flooded
roads. Turn around, dont drown.

Please report flood water flowing over roads or threatening property,
or landslides to the National Weather Service by calling toll free,
1, 800, 2 6 7, 8 1 0 1, or by posting on our Facebook page, or Tweet
it using hashtag nwsgsp. your message should describe the event and
the specific location where it occurred.

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FLASH FLOOD ADVISOURY

WGUS62 KGSP 120301
FFAGSP

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1101 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

…HEAVY RAINFALL ASSOCIATED WITH IRMA CONTINUES TO POSE A THREAT
OVERNIGHT…

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ063>065-505-507-509-SCZ001-121200-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-170912T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Southern Jackson-
Transylvania-Henderson-McDowell Mountains-Rutherford Mountains-
Polk Mountains-Oconee Mountains-
Including the cities of Clayton, Pine Mountain, Mountain City,
Cornelia, Baldwin, Demorest, Clarkesville, Hollywood, Boydville,
Toccoa, Royston, Whitworth, Lavonia, Franklin Springs, Canon,
Hartwell, Nuberg, Reed Creek, Elberton, Fortsonia, Middleton,
Ruckersville, Wolf Mountain, Cashiers, Brevard, Cedar Mountain,
Little River, Hendersonville, Fletcher, Dana, East Flat Rock,
Tuxedo, Etowah, Ashford, Sugar Hill, Woodlawn, Old Fort,
Lake Lure, Saluda, Mountain Rest, Walhalla, and Westminster
1101 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

…FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY…

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

  • portions of northeast Georgia, western North Carolina, and
    upstate South Carolina, including the following areas, in
    northeast Georgia, Elbert, Franklin, Habersham, Hart, Rabun,
    and Stephens. In western North Carolina, Henderson, McDowell
    Mountains, Polk Mountains, Rutherford Mountains, Southern
    Jackson, and Transylvania. In upstate South Carolina, Oconee
    Mountains.

  • until 8 AM EDT Tuesday

  • Scattered to numerous showers will produce moderate rainfall
    rates through the overnight hours. Additional rainfall
    accumulations of 1 to 2 inches with be possible, especially
    along the Blue Ridge Escarpment where upslope flow will be
    maximized.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead
to flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

 

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HIGH WIND BULLETIN

WTNT31 KNHC 112352
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Irma Intermediate Advisory Number 51A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
800 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

…IRMA WEAKENING BUT HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES…

SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT…0000 UTC…INFORMATION

LOCATION…31.9N 84.4W
ABOUT 55 MI…85 KM SE OF COLUMBUS GEORGIA
ABOUT 120 MI…195 KM S OF ATLANTA GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 16 MPH…26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…986 MB…29.12 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued from north of
Clearwater Beach to the Aucilla River.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* North of Fernandina Beach to the South Santee River

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* North of Altamaha Sound to the South Santee River

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
in this case during the next 12 hours, in the indicated locations.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons
located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

Interests elsewhere in the southeastern United States should monitor
the progress of Irma.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Irma was
located near latitude 31.9 North, longitude 84.4 West. Irma is
moving toward the north-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and a turn
toward the northwest is expected by Tuesday morning. On the
forecast track, the center of Irma will continue to move over
southwestern Georgia tonight and move into Alabama on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast, and Irma is
likely to become a tropical depression on Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 415 miles (665 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations
is 986 mb (29.12 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is
expected to reach the following HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND if the peak
surge occurs at the time of high tide…

Bonita Beach to Ochlockonee River, including Tampa Bay…1 to 3 ft

South Santee River to North of Fernandina Beach…2 to 4 ft
Fernandina Beach to Flagler/Volusia County line, including the St.
Johns River…1 to 3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the
warning area into tonight.

Rainfall: Irma is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations through Wednesday:

South Carolina and north-central Georgia and Alabama into the
southern Appalachians…3 to 6 inches with isolated 10 inches.
Northern Mississippi and southern portions of Tennessee and North
Carolina…2 to 4 inches.

TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible tonight along the South
Carolina coast.

SURF: Swells generated by Irma are affecting the southeast coast of
the United States. These swells are likely to cause life-
threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY

Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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WEATHER BULLETIN

WTNT31 KNHC 112352
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Irma Intermediate Advisory Number 51A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017
800 PM EDT Mon Sep 11 2017

…IRMA WEAKENING BUT HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES…

SUMMARY OF 800 PM EDT…0000 UTC…INFORMATION

LOCATION…31.9N 84.4W
ABOUT 55 MI…85 KM SE OF COLUMBUS GEORGIA
ABOUT 120 MI…195 KM S OF ATLANTA GEORGIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 16 MPH…26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…986 MB…29.12 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Storm Surge Warning has been discontinued from north of
Clearwater Beach to the Aucilla River.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for…
* North of Fernandina Beach to the South Santee River

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for…
* North of Altamaha Sound to the South Santee River

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation from rising water moving inland from the coastline,
in this case during the next 12 hours, in the indicated locations.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov. This is a life-threatening situation. Persons
located within these areas should take all necessary actions to
protect life and property from rising water and the potential for
other dangerous conditions. Promptly follow evacuation and other
instructions from local officials.

Interests elsewhere in the southeastern United States should monitor
the progress of Irma.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Irma was
located near latitude 31.9 North, longitude 84.4 West. Irma is
moving toward the north-northwest near 16 mph (26 km/h), and a turn
toward the northwest is expected by Tuesday morning. On the
forecast track, the center of Irma will continue to move over
southwestern Georgia tonight and move into Alabama on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts. Continued weakening is forecast, and Irma is
likely to become a tropical depression on Tuesday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 415 miles (665 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface observations
is 986 mb (29.12 inches).

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the
tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water is
expected to reach the following HEIGHTS ABOVE GROUND if the peak
surge occurs at the time of high tide…

Bonita Beach to Ochlockonee River, including Tampa Bay…1 to 3 ft

South Santee River to North of Fernandina Beach…2 to 4 ft
Fernandina Beach to Flagler/Volusia County line, including the St.
Johns River…1 to 3 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast in areas of
onshore winds, where the surge will be accompanied by large and
destructive waves. Surge-related flooding depends on the relative
timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over
short distances. For information specific to your area, please see
products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast
office.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in portions of the
warning area into tonight.

Rainfall: Irma is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations through Wednesday:

South Carolina and north-central Georgia and Alabama into the
southern Appalachians…3 to 6 inches with isolated 10 inches.
Northern Mississippi and southern portions of Tennessee and North
Carolina…2 to 4 inches.

TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible tonight along the South
Carolina coast.

SURF: Swells generated by Irma are affecting the southeast coast of
the United States. These swells are likely to cause life-
threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.

NEXT ADVISORY

Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Berg

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